Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 12.833552 14.465238 16.340590 18.683063 21.570886 25.070183 2.972117e+01
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 10.783052 12.746571 15.180922 18.501726 23.052039 29.300241 3.899915e+01
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.598825 11.717729 14.486140 18.512429 24.497211 33.609680 4.989269e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.836382 11.065327 14.103233 18.764695 26.206014 38.680960 6.440265e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.011361 10.205087 13.282156 18.184105 26.425465 41.296509 7.581752e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.492929 9.703648 12.892878 18.167739 27.523544 45.803430 9.454450e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.914464 9.055442 12.204055 17.550050 27.403550 47.837393 1.087744e+02
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.341115 8.366567 11.383803 16.598474 26.468369 47.822439 1.171207e+02
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.881497 7.813358 10.725522 15.842654 25.774575 48.166209 1.273945e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.026459 8.176903 11.540889 17.772632 30.912355 65.097422 2.353033e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.934774 8.164715 11.739814 18.605471 33.959838 78.540639 3.840659e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.584330 7.718975 11.170304 17.882059 33.211324 79.582140 4.440742e+02
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.334956 7.436899 10.887354 17.752440 34.054424 87.401459 6.530565e+02
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.098386 7.160943 10.593205 17.565455 34.732448 95.380422 1.011600e+03
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.912842 6.955940 10.405766 17.573359 35.944557 106.901643 1.936761e+03
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.774895 6.820171 10.329502 17.806317 37.871607 124.231226 6.184981e+03
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.546372 6.518707 9.926807 17.269474 37.389492 128.554579 1.423096e+04
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.402793 6.353553 9.764591 17.254330 38.529409 144.295733 3.936130e+06
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.201173 6.078920 9.378673 16.682453 37.752581 146.935005 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.974543 5.752287 8.877605 15.799941 35.795695 139.778302 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.782593 5.478971 8.465784 15.097638 34.345938 135.754832 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.891395 5.731651 9.074596 16.888615 42.025411 222.367119 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.874311 5.761129 9.250850 17.659138 46.489376 305.392172 NaN